If that’s the case, any line that has UTSA as double-digit underdogs is worth grabbing immediately. This is very likely to become a shootout in Austin. While Texas has received 60 percent of all bets on the spread, 88 percent of the early money is on UTSA to cover. #Fade in the back fullNow remember that Ewers will be out for 4-6 weeks and Card will make just his third career start against a team that has a full week to prepare for him.Īction Network is already tracking a much bigger handle on UTSA than the Longhorns. In 2018, Texas beat OU as a seven-point favorite, then failed to cover the spread each of the next three games against Baylor, Oklahoma State and West Virginia (a push). In 2019, Texas covered +11.5 against Oklahoma only to squeak out a two-point victory against Kansas the following week as 20-point favorites-kicking off a stretch where Texas went 1-4 against the spread. In 2020, Texas lost to Oklahoma, 53-45 in four overtimes, then pushed as an 11-point favorite against Baylor the following week. 23 Louisiana in Week 1, Texas was a -5.5 favorite at Arkansas in week 2. Looking at the last few times Texas thought it was “back” over the previous years is all the evidence you need to convince yourself the Longhorns, in fact, are not. The Roadrunners rank 11th in FBS passing yards (348 per game) are allowing just 190 yards rushing per game and have yet to turn the ball over.īut let’s go back to that idea of a letdown game for a moment. 24 Houston to overtime in a 37-35 loss before beating Army, 41-38, in Week 2. This is about a UTSA team that’s 2-0 against the spread and took No. This isn’t just about a potential letdown game-though that potential certainly exists. Within hours the points started shifting away from Texas and it’s not hard to see why. If you were one of the lucky ones who grabbed UTSA +12.5 when the line opened up, congratulations, because it sure didn’t last long. Grab the Roadrunners while they’re still double-digit underdogs and shout “meep meep” all the way to the bank. 21 in the latest poll.Īnd with unranked UTSA up next in Week 3 that means there’s only one thing to do….Fade Texas.įade the Longhorns hard. Even with the loss at home, Texas went from unranked to No. Voters for the AP Top 25 seemed to agree. Alabama wound up winning 20-19 but that’s just because Texas ran out of time, per Sarkisian. They simply inserted backup Hudson Card and relied on a defense that kept the Tide at bay for nearly four quarters. And that was despite losing elite quarterback Quinn Ewers to a shoulder injury in the first quarter. Facing the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (-20.5)- and essentially every public bettor in existence-head coach Steve Sarkisian nearly became the third-ever former Nick Saban assistant to defeat his old boss.
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